Tony Calvin's top tips for Monday: Princess can be a beauty at 8-1

By Tony Calvin
Mon 16 Apr 2018

Heavy ground is the name of the game once again on Monday but at least Windsor has passed a 7am inspection, so let’s crack on.

2.20 Windsor: Mother Of Dragons at a general 8-1

Windsor was 3.6 on the going stick reading at 7am this morning – they had 7.5mm of rain in half an hour on Saturday night, apparently – so it will be attritional stuff.

With that in mind, Mother Of Dragons may not be inconvenienced by dropping back to 5f.

The filly at least has assured fitness on her side, and has been dropped 2lb for her third over 7f at Chelmsford at the end of last month.

She is now rated 61, and that is some 21lb lower than she was after her midfield effort in the Queen Mary, and she ran a fair race when sixth in the Super Sprint at Newbury on soft ground.

Hopefully, she will break well (she is occasionally tardy from the stalls) and be able to go from the front and make this a stamina test. Nicola Currie’s 5lb claim is a bonus.

4.20 Windsor: Poet's Princess each-way at 8-1 Sky Bet (four places)

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Mobsta has obvious claims here after his unlucky effort at Doncaster but he has not been missed in the market at 11-10 and Poet's Princess could be the bet in the race, each-way at 8-1 with Sky Bet, who are offering four places on the race.

The obvious worry is her fitness as she finished last of 11 on her comeback at Newbury last season before running an excellent second at Newmarket off a 7lb higher mark than this.

But that Newbury run came over 7f on fast ground, and there is no doubt that 6f with give in the ground – and she has form on heavy – suits her far better.

The handicapper has given her a chance and she should go well if anywhere near tuned up.

5.10 Kelso: Make It Happen at a general 4-1

At Kelso, a few caught my eye – Chicoria in the 2.40pm, Tikkandemickey at around 6-1 in the 3.10 and Las Tunas in the 4.10 – but Make It Happen is my only bet on the card at the generally available 4-1.

Lucinda Russell may not be coming here after winning the Grand National this year but her string could not be in much better form.

She is operating at a 47 per cent strike rate - eight winners from 17 runners in the past fortnight - with six of the last nine runners obliging and hopefully Make It Happen is ready to bounce back to form off a falling mark.

He has been dropped 4lb for two efforts this side of Christmas and is now 2lb lower than when second of 16 over track and trip in September.

Ideally, he would want better ground but this course and distance winner does have form on soft and heavy and he is worth chancing off this mark with his stable in such red-hot nick.

5.25 Windsor: East Coast Lady at 8-1 each-way with Sky Bet (four places)

Sky Bet are also offering an extra place in this race (they sponsor) so it makes sense to back East Coast Lady each-way with them.

She was largely consistent last season, ended the campaign with two deep-ground wins, and the handicapper has raised her only 6lb for those successes.

She is one from one on heavy, is a course and distance winner, and hopefully will be straight enough. She is currently a weak 11-1 chance on Betfair but that doesn’t worry me unduly; the market is still very much in its infancy, with very little traded on it, and obviously we have the Best Odds Guaranteed fallback.

Tony's top tips:

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