Tony Calvin tipped 4-1 winner Make It Happen in his Monday column last week and has four horses at 20-1, 12-1, 15-2 and 5-1 for Monday's card at Pontefract.
By Tony Calvin
With six Monday meetings, I have concentrated on the two Flat cards in the UK today and it just so happened that all my main fancies all landed at Pontefract.
It is a good and competitive card, with some decent prize money, so let us crack on.
Candelisa is currently trading at 20-1+ on the Betfair exchange, so make sure you back him with a firm that offers you the Best Odds Guarantee (BOG) concession, and he makes definite appeal at 20-1 with the fixed-odds firms.
Candelisa was bought for £19,000 out of Jedd O’Keeffe’s stable after winning a Redcar seller last September, and he beat only one horse home on his sole subsequent start.
But the handicapper dropped him 3lb for that effort, and he makes a fair bit of appeal on his reappearance.
He has arguably recorded his two career-bests on his comeback runs in 2016 and 2017, beaten a head at Pontefract over 6f two years ago (his only start at the track), and he finished an excellent third (off an 11lb higher mark than this) in the Spring Mile at Doncaster last April. He clearly has a massive chance on the latter run.
His new stable has had a quiet time of it of late, not having had a winner since January, but then again they have only had seven runners from February onwards. Most of the selection’s better runs have also come in cheekpieces, and they are on for this run.
Poyle Vinnie is another horse that is currently trading at a much bigger price on Betfair (16-1+) than the fixed odds firms are offering but, again, that does not concern me too much.
Sportingbet and Marathon Bet currently offer a stand-out 14-1 but the general 12-1 would be acceptable to me.
The exchange market does not have a great deal of depth in the early mornings, and we hopefully have the BOG concession, too.
Poyle Vinnie will need a lot of luck in-running from stall two, so hopefully he will get one of his better starts and James Sullivan will be able to ride a more aggressive race on the eight-year-old.
He returned to form on his second start for Ruth Carr at Chelmsford last time, and he is actually rated 3lb lower on turf.
He is definitely weighted to take a hand off a mark of just 87 – he was rated 103 at the start of last season – and his form figures at the course are 113. That is good enough for me, though Orion’s Bow is very dangerous off his falling mark.
Silvanus is getting on a bit now as a 13-year-old, but the handicapper has given the old boy a real chance in this 5f handicap. He has run three fair races this season, never beaten more than four lengths, but he has been dropped 7lb. That makes him 9lb lower than when winning at Musselburgh last July.
His fitness is assured, and he is a dual course-and-distance winner who can also boast a length second at 16-1 under Monday's jockey Graham Lee at the course last May (off a 10lb higher mark than this). Paul Midgley’s runners are really beginning to hit form, too.
Starboy is the most obvious of my Monday quartet but justifiably so after a good comeback run at Newcastle, where he was checked and had to be switched at a vital stage. He still ran on well to be third and he makes plenty of appeal off the same mark here.
He ended last season with a turf success at Brighton and it is interesting that George Scott, fresh from James Garfield’s Greenham win at Newbury on Saturday, sees fit to re-apply the cheek pieces his three-year-old has worn just the once before. I will trust his judgement.
Tony Calvin's Monday tips: