I tipped Time To Study at 33-1 to win the Mallard Handicap at Doncaster last week but let it be heard that this horse will not be backed again!
He actually ran okay, but that’s another cliff for me to walk away from! Feel free to keep him in your Racing UK trackers but he's jettisoned from mine!
Anyway, I have one in the William Hill Ayr Bronze Cup on Friday and the rest are from Newbury, where I’m on duty for Racing UK - tune in from 12.30pm.
Martyn Meade's three-year-old is entered on Saturday, too, but this is the better contest and I don’t expect connections to hang around for any potential rain, given he wants a decent surface.
Progressive this year, the only season in which he has raced, he won on quick ground at Salisbury over this trip before being sent off at 7-2 for hot handicap at Goodwood.
I’m not sure he was in love with that track that day, though, and he took a while to get going before keeping on late. This should be much more his thing and I fancy a mark of 90 still underestimates him.
This could be a terrible shout but I’m not letting this Ismail Mohammed representative go unbacked at 25-1.
Now it’s a lot tougher than his course and distance handicap success under Oisin Murphy, who rides agin, two starts back for which he went up a stone.
That still puts him about the same amount short of the best off at the weights and so confidence has to be tempered.
Yet the way he went about it here in August was just so impressive and marked him down as a horse who could leave handicap company behind, for all that's come much sooner than expected.
He found Group company on soft ground far too much last time but back at Newbury, back on a sounder surface, I fancy he can be a threat.
We know this filly wants cut in the ground (she’s been taken out when the ground has come up quick a few times) and we know she likes it the course after two wins and two places from just four appearances.
She has a good relationship with the excellent Jamie Gormley and could be well drawn. There’s plenty of pace up the middle and hopefully she follows it form stall 18.
This is her toughest task to date but she’s progressed nicely this season and is a very backable price at 18-1.
If he was trained by a ‘bigger’ trainer (no offence Jim Boyle, who is excellent and enjoying an excellent season) I am sure he’d be shorter than 10-1.
A winner here last time, a 6lb rise looks fair and the step up in trip looks sure to suit.
I’d have a little reservation if the ground came up very quick but there’s rain about at the time of writing and I fancy him more than any other.
Tom Stanley's Friday best bets: