How To Bet Your £20 on Saturday: Say Goodnight to the layers with Portman's Girl

By Geoffrey Riddle@Louchepunter
Fri 17 Aug 2018

Golf betting presents punters with a gilt-edged opportunity for a big-priced double most weeks, and I always dream of landing the big one on this day with an each-way double in the William Hill Great St Wilfrid and the consolation race.

I have had a few wins at decent prices in the individual races, but I have never threaded the two together, to produce what former Racing Post colleague Steve Palmer always called ‘the face spitter’, whereby you do just that to your boss on the Monday.

Here’s hoping.

2.05 Ripon – Handsome Dude each-way at 20-1 with Bet365:

Obviously in a sprint handicap of this nature there are a few that interest me. Mick Easterby’s Quick Look would have been top of the list as he was pretty impressive last time when beating 18 others at York with relative ease and the 5lb rise is offset by the presence of Harrison Shaw in the saddle, but the drying ground is against him.

Dark Shot has been running with credit against some of the most in-form handicappers in the country over the past few weeks and months and has a real shout, but I am going to be greedy and hope that Handsome Dude can grab the stands side rail under Clifford Lee and not look back.

His win at Southwell in January showed he has a good future on the All-Weather, should David Barron wish to go down that route, but it also highlighted that at six years old he is not far off his best still. The Thirsk run when he was last a few weeks ago was surely just a pipe-opener - it was only the second time in 36 career starts he had lined-up over seven furlongs, and he should be primed for this back down at 6f.

There is a danger that he simply does not act on this course, having run below form there several times, but he is on a workable mark off 85 and Lee takes 3lbs off.

He is just 1lb higher than when he edged out Major Pudsey at Haydock last year, and with little around him that is likely to take him on for the lead Lee can add this big sprint handicap to the Bunbury Cup he won last season aboard Above The Rest.

2.25 Newbury – Dal Harraild at a generally available 5-1:

Quite why William Haggas’s representative is such a big price is beyond me.

Prior to his run in the Goodwood Cup when he was outclassed by some of the best stayers in the world, the five-year-old had pushed last season’s topweight Old Newton Cup winner Dylan Mouth to within a neck off levels.

On paper, that is form that most of these can only dream of, and last year Dal Harraild beat subsequent Ebor winner Nakeeta giving him weight doing handstands.

Not every horse relishes a trip to Dubai, and clearly Dal Harraild has taken time to come to himself after a disastrous visit to Meydan.

Godolphin’s Hamada could well be anything, after his three wins this season were capped by a fine performance at Newmarket last time. I would not be surprised at all if he won.

Collateral form can make a fool of us all, but Hamada beat Shraaoh at the July Course by seven lengths, and that is the same horse Dal Harraild edged last season at Goodwood giving him 7lbs. There’s not much in it, and at the prices I’m going for the bigger payday.

3.15 Ripon – Kimberella at each-way at 11-1 with Bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power:

This is a fiendishly difficult puzzle to solve because a lot of the fancied horses are drawn low but the best pace angle is Flying Pursuit, who is draw high on the stands’ side. Ice Age, who is drawn slap bang in the middle, is also a likely front-runner

I can see the action unfolding down the stands’ side, and with that in mind I have found it hard to split the trio of last year’s winner Teruntum Star, who races off a 1lb higher mark than 12 months ago, old stager Kimberella and the rejuvenated Brian The Snail.

Obviously I’ll have a dabble at the reverse forecast myself, but for the purposes of this column I’m going to have my main bet on Kimberella.

The eight-year-old ran one of the races of his life last time when denying the in-form Major Jumbo by a neck at Chester, and although the pair were well drawn they were nearly two-lengths clear at the line.

Trainer Richard Fahey has reached for 7lb claimer Oakley Brown, who impressed when guiding Third Time Lucky from last to first down the far side rail at York last month.

On the other side of the track, Golden Apollo would have a great chance and will have a lot of pace to aim at.

3.20 Newmarket – Goodnight Girl at a generally available 7-2:

The last two winners of this wonderful grey horse handicap in Case Key and Syrian Pearl line up again, and I can see Case Key going close again at 8-1.

Glenn Coco is 4lb below his winning mark and is well drawn for how he likes to run and would offer some value at 10-1, but I just think they might all be left behind by the wildly progressive Goodnight Girl.

The flying filly absolutely hammered her rivals last time, and put daylight between her and runner-up Dotted Swiss, a dual winner this season.

Not many horses win 6f sprints by six lengths, and although her time was nothing special she still posted the best speed figure of her season so far.

Although the daughter of 2003 French Guineas winner Clodovil has put in some of her best performances on the quick, summer ground we have had recently, trainer Jonathan Portman has long felt some rain would suit her.

It did for her sire, and like many of his progeny I am hoping she continues to improve.

3.35 Newbury – Gustav Klimt at a generally available 9-4:

Gustav Klimt has not lived up to the expectations placed on him since he got Ryan Moore out of trouble with a sublime turn of foot up the far rail at the July meeting last season but that does not stop him being a decent horse.

The son of dual Derby winner Galileo has been running with credit for much of the season in Classics and the big mile Group One races, but without success.

Put any of his seven rivals in the races he has been contesting and you would not fancy any of them to run as well as the Ballydoyle challenger and I think he will be too good.

He is back to the 7f trip over which he is unbeaten in three starts, the Aidan O’Brien stable is returning to form after a much-publicised bug and the 11-4 has long gone. They will keep coming for him, too, so make sure you take the price.

Geoffrey Riddle's How To Bet Your £20 on Saturday:

OPTION ONE:

2.05 Ripon: £1 each-way Handsome Dude at 20-1

2.25 Newbury: £4 win Dal Harraild at 5-1

3.15 Ripon: £2 each-way Kimberella at 11-1

3.20 Newmarket: £5 Goodnight Girl at 7-2

3.35 Newbury: £5 Gustav Klimt at 9-4

OPTION TWO:

£1 each-way on Handsome Dude

£2 trixie on Goodnight Girl, Gustav Klimt and Dal Harraild

£1 reverse exacta on Kimberella, Brian The Snail and Teruntum Star

2.50 each-way double on Kimberella and Handsome Dude

OPTION THREE:

£12.50 on Goodnight Girl

0.50p Lucky 15 on Handsome Dude, Kimberella, Dal Harraild, Gustav Klimt

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