Angus McNae's Wednesday tips: Pedigree and potential can make winning formula at Goodwood

By Angus McNae
Tue 1 Aug 2017

As I did last week I have spread my selections around different tracks. While I was tempted to concentrate just on Goodwood, I think it makes sense to head elsewhere for races that are easier to decipher.

That said I do have one selection for Goodwood in the opening contest. Let us hope we can repeat last week’s success of three winners from four selections!

1.50 Goodwood - Hawkerland:

I was going to tip this horse last week but he was a non-runner and presumably was saved for this race. He is a thoroughly progressive and lightly-raced stayer. He has won twice in his five-race career and was particularly impressive last time out at Chepstow when posting a decent timefigure, and that was when he was eased down through the final furlong. He has a very nice pedigree, too. The gelding is by Sea the Stars and his dam is a half sister to the Oaks winner Ramruma. Such a pedigree is surely one of a horse who should be much better than a handicapper rated 78 and he can take advantage of that mark here and win again.

4.55 Redcar - Be Bold: This well-handicapped horse regained the winning thread at Cattetick last time. He races under a 6lb penalty, which he is definitely capable of defying. His return to form came about as a result of a big drop in the weights, but crucially he encountered soft ground, which he needs to show his best – all four of his wins have been on soft or heavy. The ground looks set to be suitable once again and he looks primed to win again at a track where he has tasted success before. Connor Beasley, who won on him at Catterick, is on board again.

5.30 Redcar - Yes You:

This three-year-old filly has been steadily improving this season and her win at Hamilton last time was the best performance of her career to date. The Timefigure she produced suggests that a mark of 55 really underplays her ability and she should be able to win again. She is drawn in stall one, which is a good draw on the straight course at Redcar and Jamie Gormley is a decent 7lb claimer to have on board. All in all she is going to be hard to beat.

7.55 Sandown: Bonnie Arlene

This Mark Johnston-trained filly is very consistent and has promised to be much better than her mark of 68. The drop to 9f in Esher with Silvestre De Sousa on board could see her take a step forward. She was unsuited by a strongly run race at 11f last time and a greater emphasis on speed would help her. I am not a great fan of trying to judge how a race will be run as it is fraught with all sorts of chaos. Given how Johnston’s horses are generally ridden, however, and De Sousa's style, in addition to there being only five rivals it looks likely that Bonnie Arlene will lead which is never a bad thing at Sandown.

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