How to Bet £20 on Saturday: Boat looks Dream price at 5-1
Friday 19 May 2017
The Score's nap, Main Desire, was a 4-1 winner at York on Friday. Andy Stephens is hoping for more of the same on Saturday, plus watch expert analysis of the Lockinge and London Gold Cup Handicap by Tony Calvin and Night Lightfoot
The Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (3.30) on Saturday could be a classic but for punting purposes it looks too tough to call and I am happy to sit it out.
Aclaim was half-tempting at a double-figure price because he ended last season on the up and remains unexposed over a mile but the top three in the betting - Galileo Gold, Ribchester and Lightning Spear - make for formidable opposition and I would not be surprised if any of the trio took the spoils.
Al Shaqab are sponsoring the whole meeting and the first four horses I focused on were those that would be carrying the colours of Sheikh Joaan on the card because it goes without saying that he would love a winner or two and that his trainers would love to indulge him.
In addition to Galileo Gold, he will be represented by Denaar (4.05), Aljezeera (4.40) and El Hayem (5.10) - with the last-named, who runs in the closing Toronado Handicap (5.10) over a mile, perhaps the most interesting.
He has been gelded since last season, and he shaped well when beaten under two lengths into sixth in the Spring Cup over course and distance on his return.
As a consequence he went off a short price to win over an extended 7f at Chester last time but he found one too good after he missed the break and found trouble in running.
El Hayem has 16 rivals to overcome but can make amends.
The opening six-runner Al Rayyan Stakes (1.50) appeals as a decent betting medium because Across The Stars looks a poor favourite.
He is the only one in the field not to have had a run this year and has taken a keen hold on occasions. None of the field usually front-run and, in what could develop into a muddling renewal, his likely freshness is a concern.
Midterm and Chemical Charge are equipped with first-time visors, while Hawkbill has been disappointing since his Coral-Eclipse win and To Be Wild has it all to do on form.
That leaves My Dream Boat, who is the joint-highest rated runner in the field, will have the ground to his liking, and has been crying out for the longer trip.
He failed to add to his Prince of Wales’s victory last year, gained at the expense of subsequent Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe winner Found, but his efforts behind the top-notch Almanzor at Leopardstown and Ascot at the backend of the year - staying on to beaten about five lengths each time - were certainly not without merit.
My Dream Boat was not at his peak when a staying-on third behind Ulysses and Deauville on his return at Sandown last month but Clive Cox said he needed the run and it could be that the winner turns into something special this year. The runner-up has since gone one better at Chester.
At 5-1 with Paddy Power, My Dream Boat looks a decent punt.
Andrew Balding has his team firing on all cylinders and his Mucho Applause is difficult to ignore in the Al Zubarah London Gold Cup Handicap (2.55).
He looked good when losing his maiden tag on soft ground at Salisbury on his final start last season and ran a cracker when beaten a short head by Atty Persse on easy ground his return at Sandown.
That was something of a messy race but the winner is a useful prospect and the form looks solid.
Mucho Applause clearly copes well with soft ground and is entitled to improve again. He is only 3lb higher than at Sandown, and he can go one better.
Balding can also strike a little earlier in the day via Beat The Bank in the Listed Betway King Charles II Stakes (2.40) at Newmarket.
The unbeaten Paco Boy colt made a fine British/stable debut when getting the better of the useful Salsabeel over course and distance last month.
The pair pulled well clear and Beat The Bank has plenty more to offer.
Finally, best bet of the day could be Di Fede in the Betway EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (3.50) on the same card.
This stamina-bred daughter of Shamardal shaped with bags of promise under very tender handling on her debut over 5f at Salisbury.
She finished about a length behind Take Shelter and is 3lb worse off, but that rival had the benefit of a run and was given a much stronger ride.
Di Fede should relish this extra furlong and is related to siblings at home on a soft surface.
How to Bet £20 on Saturday:
1.50 Newbury: £5 win on My Dream Boat at 5-1 with Paddy Power
2.40 Newmarket: £3 win on Beat The Bank at 9-2 with bet365 and BetVictor
2.55 Newbury: £5 win Mucho Applause at a general 11-2
3.50 Newmarket: £4 win on Di Fede
5.10 Newbury: £3 win on El Hayem
70p Win Super Yankee and 90p each-way accumulator
1.50 Newbury: My Dream Boat
2.40 Newmarket: Beat The Bank
2.55 Newbury: Mucho Applause
3.50 Newmarket: Di Fede
5.10 Newbury: El Hayem
The Score's nap for Saturday is: 3.50 Newmarket: Di Fede
The Score's nap for Sunday is: 3.15 Naas: Simmy's Copshop
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