Tanya Stevenson
Will the French succeed again at York on Cup day?
17 May 2013
I’ve just returned from the York betting ring and monsoon-like conditions. A boat to engineer a way out of a flooded car park would have been more appropriate as streams of water poured down the stairway towards the main entrance.
Poor Rod, my trusty and dependable work colleague. In order to be up-to-date with the prices I stood in the ring in the conditions, stupidly, but it meant Rod had to stand out in the rain also. He is the technical whizz that if anything goes wrong with my talkback to the production team he is there to sort it as soon as possible. I wouldn’t have blamed him though if he had abandoned me from about 2.50pm today.
I love being defiant and standing in the rain. I have a massive aversion to umbrellas and instead rely on my trusty hat no matter how porous or otherwise! Umbrellas mean you only have one hand to hold all the stats, write down the changing prices and check the mobile plus they have a tendency to blow inside out thus getting you soaked anyway!
Many thought it was a good day for the bookmakers yesterday and up until the Dante it was - a 33-1 winner there can be complaints, yet after 2.50pm any on-course bookmaker did well to strike a bet at all so severe were the conditions that they had all those in attendance cowering in the stands. Those brave enough to have a bet would have challenged Usain Bolt for sprinting prowess.
Be mindful of the change of conditions for York on Friday, it will do well to fully dry up from the deluge. No surprise the betting was changing with every droplet for the Qipco Yorkshire Cup and you’d have to fancy another French raider to snatch the prize in the form of Top Trip for Francois Doumen and Mickael Barzalona.
Who will win the Derby now after the Dante? I like Mars but as I was rightly reminded he was a huge price on Betfair yesterday.
Dawn Approach ought to win just like his sire, New Approach, but how about the French raider Ocovango? Andre Fabre brings him over to Breakfast With The Stars next week.
Back to York and Sir John Hawkwood could land a quickfire win and continue Sir Michael Stoute’s return to the top. And at Newbury I like The Lark.
Today’s tips:
2.00 Newbury The Lark 7-2 with Bet365
2.15 York Sir John Hawkwood 5-2 with William Hill
2.45 York Top Trip 11-2 with Ladbrokes
Tanya’s Pointers:
Eight of the last ten winners were beaten on their last run
Seven of the last ten winners had had at least one run this season
The biggest priced winner in the last 10 years was 9-1
Seven of the eight winners had won on their previous start
Seven of the last eight winners were priced 7-1 or shorter
James Sullivan has ridden Easy Terms ten times winning on him on six occasions
Seven of the last eight winners were aged five
Eight of the last ten winners have been drawn in single-figure stalls
Only two of the last ten winners were priced in double figures, despite that only two favourites have obliged
The biggest price of the six winners was 15-2
Six of the seven winners had been beaten on their previous start
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