Tanya Stevenson
When Fallon rides light you should take note
16 June 2012
Today’s selections:
2.05 York Eagle Rock
2.50 Sandown Karaka Jack
3.10 York Gabriel’s Lad
No doubt many of you are recovering in a good way from a dramatic England victory against Sweden last night, so roll on the Ukraine.
The countdown to Royal Ascot now starts in earnest and hopes are that the rain will cease in time to encourage Donald McCain to run Overturn in the Ascot Gold Cup on Thursday. Ahead of the five day spectacular there is plenty to get stuck into at York and Sandown this afternoon.
I like the chances of Karaka Jack at Sandown. He likes cut and ran with respectability at Doncaster behind Chapter Seven last time when fourth. It is a very competitive handicap but nothing should really faze David Nicholls’s runner.
Eagle Rock did well at Aintree to get so near to Grumeti and Countrywide Flame in the top Juvenile hurdle. He has since run well on the flat and Hayley Moore is his very able partner in the Queen Mother’s Cup at 2.05pm. Stamina is the requirement this afternoon.
Nick Robson was great this morning on The Morning Line and he fancies Queen’s Revenge at a big price in the 3.10pm with some valid reasons. Gabriel’s Lad is the horse who appeals to me for many reasons including the fact Kieren Fallon is riding at 8-6, which his lowest for the last 12 months.
Tanya’s pointers:
All winners since 2000 have carried 9-1 or less
Eight of the last ten winners finished in the first four on their most recent start
Eight of the last ten winners had at least three starts as a two-year-old
Seven of the last ten winners finished first or second on their first start as a two-year-old
Five of the last ten winners were trained in the North
Only one of the last ten winners was making his handicap debut.
Only two of the last ten winners of the Bond Tyres Trophy were favourite
Nine of the last ten winners had run at least four times prior to York
Eight of the last ten winners of the Queen Mother’s Cup came from the first five in the betting
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