Anyone for Cantal?
14 June 2012
3.50pm Yarmouth: Cantal
There are three meetings in total on Racing UK today and they will keep me going long into the evening. The final race at Haydock is at 9.20pm, after which I will make my way home to collapse. It should be an interesting day though with good action at Newbury, Nottingham and Haydock. I have arrived at the studio suitably prepared for a long day with provisions galore which should keep me going as long as I do not go for the sandwiches too early. It is always a mistake not to ration your provisions correctly on days such as this.
My selection today is hopefully going to run a lot better than the last few that I have put up here on the blog. The fact that the selection yesterday was a non-runner was a bonus! It would be fair to say I am in a bit of a slump as far as my selections are concerned at the moment and when I find myself in such a a place I always tend to panic, or more importantly, get stuck into some speed figure analysis and keep the faith with tried and tested methods. So here goes for today.
Cantal in the 3.50 at Yarmouth is the poor beast who has to carry the burden of my selection today. This filly posted a speed figure in the mid 80's last time when a very good third at Goodwood. She drops back in trip today and given how well she went in that Goodwood race she will be suited by the seven furlongs she tackles today. Ryan Moore is on board and given that he is riding as well as he ever has at the moment Cantal is sure to run well. She will not be much of a price, but I just need to get one through the hoop and get some confidence back.
Frankel is 1/8 to win the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot and whilst he will probably win easily he will actually not enhance his reputation in any way. If he is going to do that he needs to step up in trip and race against sterner opposition than just his own pacemaker. Don't get me wrong, I am looking forward to seeing him again, but it is not going to be a horse race, rather an exercise gallop. Brigadier Gerrard went to all the big meetings and won 17 of his 18 races from six furlongs to a mile and a half beating top class horses such as Mill Reef as he went along. Such achievements make him a great champion, Frankel needs to do similar if he is really worthy of being called great.
Have a good day.
All the best