Count on Naadirr after paying the ultimate price
29 August 2015
Naadirr is a fresh horse after only a few outings this season and he could be far too good at a big price in the Listed Hopeful Stakes at Newmarket on Saturday.
The son of Oasis Dream was a little coltish at York where he ran an absolute stinker when last in the Duke Of York Stakes in May.
He was not much better when tenth of 12 at Windsor in blinkers but having been gelded since he could easily hit the same heights as when he beat Astaire, Jack Dexter and Saturday’s rival Dinkum Diamond in the Cammidge Trophy in March.
Until that point, the son of Oasis Dream was a sprinter on the up. The 8-1 available is usually the point at which for me each-way betting starts to be worthwhile, but if the gelding operation has not worked as expected then you might as well burn your money.
Sticking to the sprints I cannot work out why Maarek is not shorter than 9-2 for the toteScoop6 Beverley Bullet. Quite what Line Of Reason has done to vie for favouritism having to concede 4lbs is a mystery to me. Maarek showed in the Greenlands Stakes in May when just a length behind Mustajeeb that despite aged eight he remains most of his ability.
Maarek was clearly in need of the run when fifth behind Mattmu at the Curragh, but it is a concern that he has not won since May last year and the drying ground may not totally suit.
One who could go well at a price is Poyle Vinnie. He is certainly not well drawn in gate 12 but as a front-runner Andrew Mullen might be able to secure a decent position early on. Poyle Vinnie had to cut out most of his own running last time when tenth from a poor draw in the Great St Wilfrid. At 20-1 he looks an each-way prospect.
Lastly, at Windsor Irish raider Fascinating Rock looks a shoo-in for Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen in the Listed Unibet Winter Hill Stakes. Trip, going and form all look perfect for the four-year-old but I have been waiting for Godolphin’s Racing History to finally race since he won at Chester last time and at 7-1 he looks a touch of value.
Geoffrey Riddle Saturday tips:
2.20 Beverley: Poyle Vinnie each-way at 20-1 generally available
3.25 Newmarket: Naadirr at 8-1 generally available
6.35 Windsor: Racing History at 7-1 with Bet365, Bet Victor and Paddy Power