Dante meeting day one observations
12 May 2016
York track bias:
You can deny it all you want, but there was undoubted evidence of a track bias on the first day of the Dante meeting at York
The far side looked quicker than the stands side all day. In the two six furlong sprints horses that raced stands side had little chance and in the juvenile novice stakes the 33-1 runner-up was going nowhere before hanging to the far side on to the better ground.
Some may say that the results were a function of the best horses racing on the far side all day. An element of this is true, but it only goes part way to explain what was going on.
Track biases are a moveable feast so things may be different today.
So Mi Dar at Epsom:
So Mi Dar was an impressive winner of the Musidora Stakes and her pedigree suggests she will certainly stay 12 furlongs in the Investec Oaks.
She is a speedy horse, who won a 10-furlong race at a speed-favouring track so despite her pedigree the question has to be asked whether her demeanor will allow her to stay?
She was a bit keen and she wears a cross noseband for a reason, and success in the Oaks depends on her saving as much energy as she can up the steep climb over the first three furlongs at Epsom. If she is keen up the climb she will not get home. The 10-furlong Nassau Stakes looks ready made for her.
Twilight Son no bad thing:
Twilight Son was beaten in the Duke of York Stakes but do not give up on him.
The ground was too fast for him.
All of his best form has come with some cut and he is by Kyllachy after all. He also raced on the unfavored part of the track, if you buy into that theory. He only ran in when the leaders got tired and he wandered on to the better ground.
He was also being asked to give weight away all round on his first run of the season and would have had to run up to a mark of about 120 to prevail.
The Betfred Sprint Cup in the autumn on easier ground looks spot on for him.